It’s the day before the election and it seemingly looks like Democratic candidate Phil Murphy will be New Jersey’s next governor.
Quinnipiac University Poll released its latest poll Monday, showing Murphy leading Republican candidate Lt. Gov. Kim Guadagno by 12 percentage points.
According to the poll, likely voters in New Jersey support Murphy 53 percent compared to Guadagno at 41 percent.
The demographics breakdown show a mostly even race, with women and non-white voters preferring Murphy. Murphy is supported over Guadagno among women voters 60 percent to 36 percent and by non-white voters 66 percent to 24 percent.
Other demographics divide more evenly with men (47 percent Guadagno, 46 percent Murphy), white voters (50 percent Guadagno, 47 percent Murphy) and independents (47 percent Guadagno, 44 percent Murphy), with only a 3 percentage point difference at most between the candidates.
“In blue New Jersey, a Republican who can’t solidly carry independent voters is a candidate unlikely to win a statewide election,” said Peter A. Brown, assistant director of the Quinnipiac University poll, in a statement released with the data.
Quinnipiac University Poll has a margin of error of 5.2 percentage points.